Paraguay are in the driving seat and it looks to be them plus one, but they still could go out with defeat to New Zealand. If Paraguay win then they're through along with the winner of Italy against Slovakia, if it's a draw then Italy progress. If New Zealand get a draw then Paraguay will still progress along with the winner of Italy and Slovakia, it it's a draw then it will go down on goals scored between Italy and New Zealand. If New Zealand beat Paraguay then they will go through with Italy if they win but it will go on goals difference between Slovakia and Paraguay if Slovakia win, Paraguay will go through if Italy and Slovakia draw.
I think Paraguay will beat New Zealand 2-1 to spell their progress and New Zealand's exit. Before the World Cup I predicted Italy to win 4-0 but their lack of fire-power diminishes that prediction, but Italy should win and just about progress.
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